Peterson Institute for International Economics

Roubini Topic Archive: IMF and International Economic Institutions

  • The World Bank’s Next President Must Arrest Its Institutional Decline

    The World Bank is the second best international organization after the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in terms of reputation and quality, but it is an institution of diminishing significance. Its current president, Robert B. Zoellick, is stepping down at the end of his five-year term, and the Obama administration has announced that it will nominate […]

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  • Why Greece Must Not Leave the Euro Area

    The two most crucial questions about the Greek public debt crisis have been whether the country would be forced to default on its public debt and whether it would have to leave the euro area. At present Greece has pursued an orderly default on its privately held debt, but it remains in the euro area. […]

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  • An Alternative for Greece: An Incomes Policy to Achieve Internal Devaluation

    The sad fact is that no one outside officialdom (who are duty-bound to talk nonsense when sense is too embarrassing) seems to regard the recent privately held debt write-down and second Greek bailout as likely to offer an exit to Greece from its nightmare, even in the long run. The reason is simple: Greek competitiveness […]

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  • Brinkmanship in Brussels, Sturm and Drachma for Greece and Europe

    Just as it did when Congress recently extended the payroll tax cut, brinkmanship has produced a deal in Europe to extend a new lifeline to Greece and clear the way for the biggest sovereign bond restructuring in history. Both pieces of the agreement—the privately held Greek debt write-down of more than €100 billion and the […]

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  • Trichet and the ECB Learn to Live with an SD Rating

    Normally attempts at “Kremlinological interpretations” of policymakers’ every word should be avoided. When an institution like the European Central Bank suggests  a critical policy change during the Q&A session of its regular press conference, observers are left with little choice. A closer analysis of what Jean Claude Trichet said at his July 7 press conference1, […]

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  • The G-20’s Action Plan on Food Price Volatility and Agriculture

    The G-20 Agriculture Ministers met in Paris last June 22 and 23 to tackle the issue of food price volatility with the goal to improve food security. The Ministerial Declaration “Action Plan on Food Price Volatility and Agriculture” is a 24-page document whose main objectives are: 1) improve agricultural production and productivity to respond to […]

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  • Greece Does the Right Thing, After Another Turbulent Week in the Euro Area

    A deadline before a deadline before a deadline. The political brinkmanship in the euro area crisis has clearly reached new levels in recent weeks, culminating in the vote in Greece’s Parliament on June 29 to accept a tough austerity package in return for new loans to avert a default. The vote demonstrated that for all […]

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  • What’s Behind the Squabble Over a New Aid Package for Greece?

    As euro area members jockey over who will pay to keep Greece afloat in the next two years, political grandstanding by elected leaders is to be expected. A lively display of those tactics is under way ahead of the euro area and European Union (EU) meetings later this month, from June 20 to 24. So […]

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  • Portugal Votes for the IMF

    Judging from the press coverage of Europe’s sovereign debt crisis, you would think that citizens of Greece, Portugal and other errant countries are in full scale revolt against the measures being imposed to get them back to solvency. But this weekend’s election result in Portugal illustrates the need to separate dramatic television pictures of street […]

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  • A Quick Guide to the Upcoming Contest for the Next MD of the IMF

    By Arvind Subramanian and Nicolas Veron This note provides a quick guide—in the form of a table—to the likely candidates to succeed Dominique Strauss-Kahn as next Managing Director (MD) of the IMF, assuming that he resigns shortly. It also highlights some key points that must guide the process of selecting the next MD.

    Need for urgent action. The IMF is at a critical juncture with lots of problems to solve, not least in Europe. A leadership vacuum and uncertainty must be avoided, which requires urgent initiatives by the larger players—the United States, Europe, China, Brazil, India, South Africa and others.

    Europe can no longer claim the job of MD: Europe no longer has the divine right to this job, irrespective of the circumstances of the European incumbent’s (assumed) departure. The world has changed, and antiquated if unstated arrangements dating from 1945, in which a European heads the IMF and an American heads the World Bank, must keep pace with reality. The next MD must be selected on the basis of merit, which is not to be found only in Europe.

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