EconoMonitor

Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor

Roubini Topic Archive: Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles

  • The Great Backlash

    In the immediate aftermath of the 2008 global financial crisis, policymakers’ success in preventing the Great Recession from turning into Great Depression II held in check demands for protectionist and inward-looking measures. But now the backlash against globalization – and the freer movement of goods, services, capital, labor, and technology that came with it – […]

    More ›

  • Autumn’s Known Unknowns

    During the height of the Iraq war, then-U.S. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld spoke of “known unknowns” – foreseeable risks whose realization is uncertain. Today, the global economy is facing many known unknowns, most of which stem from policy uncertainty. In the United States, three sources of policy uncertainty will come to a head this […]

    More ›

  • The Global Economy on the Fly

    In the last four weeks, I have traveled to Sofia, Kuala Lumpur, Dubai, London, Milan, Frankfurt, Berlin, Paris, Beijing, Tokyo, Istanbul, and throughout the United States. As a result, the myriad challenges facing the global economy were never far away.   In Europe, the tail risk of a eurozone break-up and a loss of market […]

    More ›

  • Preparing for a Perfect Storm

    The global economy this year will exhibit some similarities with the conditions that prevailed in 2012. No surprise there: We face another year in which global growth will average about 3 percent, but with a multispeed recovery—a subpar, below-trend annual rate of 1 percent in the advanced economies, and close-to-trend rates of 5 percent in […]

    More ›

  • Nouriel at Davos: Global Tail Risks Remain

    Speaking with CNN’s Poppy Harlow at Davos, RGE Chairman Nouriel Roubini reiterated the biggest outlying risks to the global economy: U.S. fiscal woes, the eurozone sovereign debt crisis, a potential China hard landing, and geopolitical risk in the Middle East. Nouriel argued that the worst scenario need to materialize for a meaningful impact on global […]

    More ›

  • Nouriel: Politics Will Define 2013

    Speaking with Christine Freeland of the New York Times, Nouriel Roubini described the shift from a market focus on risk in 2012 to a worldwide recognition that political action—European elections, partisan U.S. fiscal battles, Middle East unrest, Chinese and Japanese political transitions—will shape the economic and financial landscape in 2013, contingent on unconventional policy responses […]

    More ›

  • The Year of Betting Conservatively

    The upswing in global equity markets that started in July is now running out of steam, which comes as no surprise: with no significant improvement in growth prospects in either the advanced or major emerging economies, the rally always seemed to lack legs. If anything, the correction might have come sooner, given disappointing macroeconomic data […]

    More ›

  • American Pie in the Sky

    From Project Syndicate: While the risk of a disorderly crisis in the eurozone is well recognized, a more sanguine view of the United States has prevailed. For the last three years, the consensus has been that the US economy was on the verge of a robust and self-sustaining recovery that would restore above-potential growth. That […]

    More ›

  • ‘Roubini’s Devastating Diagnosis’ – Freeland File (Full Video Interview – 16:49)

    More ›

  • Roubini Reuters Videos on Global Perfect Storm and Europe’s Slow Motion Train Wreck

    Reuters — Roubini: Euro crisis a “slow motion train wreck” – Freeland File (4:26)   Reuters — Roubini: “Global perfect storm” looms – Freeland File (2:17)

    More ›