EconoMonitor

Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor

Roubini Topic Archive: Spain

  • The Year Ahead in the Eurozone: Lower Risks, Same Problems

    Financial conditions in the eurozone have significantly improved since the summer, when eurozone risks peaked because of German policymakers’ open consideration of a Greek exit, and the sovereign spreads of Italy and Spain reached new heights. The day before European Central Bank President Mario Draghi’s famous speech in London in which he announced that the […]

    More ›

  • Nouriel on Draghi’s Plan: It Could Weaken EUR in Longer Run

    Nouriel speaks on Bloomberg about Mario Draghi’s bond-buying plan, the future of the euro and the Fed’s plans this week and ahead of the election. Roubini: Here’s My Blueprint for the Future

    More ›

  • Get Ready for the Spanish Bailout

    From the Financial Times: No one can pretend to know whether Spain is illiquid or insolvent without gauging the size of the black hole that is the country’s banking sector. The Spanish government is finally starting to do this: Bankia and other banks are reportedly set to receive a capital injection from Madrid. With the […]

    More ›

  • A Divorce Settlement for the Eurozone

    From the FT: The European Central Bank has averted disaster, sparking a powerful relief rally – but nothing fundamental has been resolved. Greece may need another debt restructuring; Portugal and Ireland may need restructuring too. Spain and Italy may yet come under the gun. Banking crises are hardly ever resolved without removing toxic assets or […]

    More ›

  • A Loan and a Prayer

    From Project Syndicate:  

    By Nouriel Roubini and Stephen Mihm

    The countries known collectively as the PIIGS – Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, and Spain – are burdened with increasingly unsustainable levels of public and private debt.   Several of the worst-hit – Portugal, Ireland, and Greece – have seen their borrowing costs soar to record highs in recent weeks, even after their loss of market access led to bailouts financed by the European Union and the International Monetary Fund. Spanish borrowing costs are also rising.

    More ›

  • Spiegel Interview with Nouriel Roubini: Europe Needs Growth to Prevent a Collapse of the Euro

    DER SPIEGEL:

    Europe, says star economist Nouriel Roubini, needs to take immediate action to shore up the euro. In an interview with SPIEGEL, Roubini said Germany must provide more money to defend the common currency and allow the European Central Bank to loosen monetary policy. Otherwise, disaster could be looming.

    More ›

  • An Orderly Market-Based Approach to the Restructuring of Eurozone Sovereign Debts Obviates the Need for Statutory Approaches

    Ireland is now on the verge of following Greece into the Land of Lost Market Access. At the same time, sovereign spreads continue to widen for the rest of the PIIGS (especially Portugal but also for Spain and Italy). If, as appears likely, Ireland ends up losing market access, the short term response of the EU will be feature a rerun of last spring’s Greek solution: kicking the can down the road with a bailout package (a combination of EFSF support and IMF loans) to prevent systemic contagion spreading to the rest of the eurozone and to global financial markets. The same prescription awaits should Portugal lose market access in the next few months.

    More ›

  • Comparing Spain With Ireland and Other PIIGS: Better in Some Ways, More at Risk in Others

    Contagion is spreading from Ireland to Spain, which shares some key vulnerabilities in the wake of its real estate boom/bust and large non-performing loan overhang in the banking sector. A house price comparison shows that the housing bubble in Spain was more pronounced than in the United States but less pronounced than in Ireland.

    More ›

  • Roubini Hosts CNBC Squawk Box – Europe: Contagion 2.0

    CNBC VIDEO — Roubini and Bremmer on Crisis Economics Click for report by Ash Bennington, NetNet Writer, Special to CNBC.com CNBC — Roubini Maps Out Nightmare Scenario of Domino Debt Collapse in Europe All rights reserved, Roubini GlobalEconomics, LLC

    More ›

  • Irish Woes Should Speed Europe’s Default Plan

    From the Financial Times:

    As the European Union attempts to force it to accept an aid package, Ireland’s government is close to being unable to sell its debt on the open market, a fate that befell Greece last spring. Bond spreads in Spain, Italy and Portugal are also rising, with the Portuguese finance minister warning on Monday that his country may have to accept a rescue package too.
     
    In the short term the EU will kick the can down the road via a temporary Irish bail-out, just as it did with Greece. It is likely to do the same with Portugal. But it has finally dawned on the EU that a rolling process that places private bank losses on to public balance sheets could leave its governments insolvent too.

    More ›