Bloomberg – ‘Perfect Storm’ May Threaten Global Economy: Roubini
A “perfect storm” of fiscal woe in the U.S., a slowdown in China, European debt restructuring and stagnation in Japan may converge on the global economy, New York University professor Nouriel Roubini said.
There’s a one-in-three chance the factors will combine to stunt growth from 2013, Roubini said in a June 11 interview in Singapore. Other possible outcomes are “anemic but OK” global growth or an “optimistic” scenario in which the expansion improves.
“There are already elements of fragility,” he said. “Everybody’s kicking the can down the road of too much public and private debt. The can is becoming heavier and heavier, and bigger on debt, and all these problems may come to a head by 2013 at the latest.”
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6 Responses to “Bloomberg – ‘Perfect Storm’ May Threaten Global Economy: Roubini”
I would add that the end of QE2 has the possibility of stimulating global financial markets, especially equity markets. This may sound counter-intuitive and may not happen. My rationale is as follows. QE2 has had a positive short term effect on US equities thus far. There, were and are, consequences for such a blunt instrument as QE2. One of these consequences has been, and still is, an increase in the complexity of 'currency wars' and possibly international trade to a lesser extent. By hopefully avoiding any possible form of a QE3, currency wars ( and international trade to a lesser extent, possibly ) can better flourish in an international monetary ecosystem that is more predictable and therefore more stable. It is not a matter of right or wrong, good or bad. It is a matter of NECESSITY. International monetary policy NEEDS to be better coordinated globally, as most all countries and their respective economies and financial systems are becoming ever more intertwined and dependent on one another. In my opinion, this is one of the biggest lessons that should be learned from the last Great Recession. The ever increasing pace of communication and international business, not only requires, but demands better coordination and less volatility in regards to international monetary policy.
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I can assure you all that Nouriel Roubini is an outstanding, internationally renown economist.
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