National Research Council: ‘Climate and Social Stress: Implications for Security Analysis’

”There is compelling reason to presume that specific failures of adaptation [to climate change] will occur with consequences more severe than any yet experienced, severe enough to compel more extensive international engagement than has yet been anticipated or organized.” The National Research Council is the principle operating arm of the National Academy of Sciences, the […]

Update on Iran Sanctions

The boycott of Iran has been more successful than I had anticipated, with Iranian oil production and exports down significantly from a year ago. Alternative estimates of Iranian oil production. Source: Early Warning. And even stronger additional sanctions may soon be agreed upon. The measures appear to be having a significant effect on the Iranian economy, with the IMF reporting […]

Geopolitical Unrest and Key Oil Producers

Some people observed 9/11 by lighting candles, others by killing more Americans. Yesterday a mob stormed the U.S. Consulate in Benghazi, Libya, killing the U.S. ambassador to Libya and three other Americans. Among other implications, this raises the possibility that the stability that seemed to have returned to that country may be short-lived. As of May, […]

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