Voters are Angry about Free Trade. What is the Right Policy Response?

The two most watched candidates of this presidential election season, Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders, have put anger over the effects of free trade at the center of their campaigns. In doing so, they have won millions of votes. Many of the arguments they use in their stump speeches are overly simplistic, but the anger […]

The Great Bipartisan War on Free Trade

Like most economists, I am strongly inclined toward free trade. I cringe to see the way free trade is under attack, from both parties, during this primary season. The two populist candidates are the worst offenders. Bernie Sanders, whom I support on many other issues [1] [2] [3], goes off the rails when it comes […]

China’s Latest “Devaluation:” A Currency War in the Making?

China’s currency has, once again, been weakening against the dollar. It is down by more than 4 percent since October, including a fall of more than one percent just last week. Writing in the New York Times, Landon Thomas, Jr. warned that “China’s decision to push the value of its currency lower has opened a […]

An Important Step for China and the World

On 30 November the Board of the IMF decided to include the Chinese RMB in the Special Drawing Rights (SDR) basket from 1 October 2016. SDR is the unit used in transactions between IMF member states and the Fund. RMB will thus become the fifth currency in this basket of global reserve currencies, joining the […]

What’s on China’s Mind?

During my recent visit to China I’ve given a few lectures at the top Beijing universities – Tsinghua, Renmin, Normal, and Beijing – and seminars in some think-tanks and research institutes, including the Center for China and Globalization. I also had couple of meetings with the readers of my new book published in Chinese: “Shi […]

How Natural is Natural Monopoly? The Case of China’s Crumbling Hold on Rare Earths

Rare earth elements (REEs) are a group of seventeen elements with exotic names like neodymium and yttrium that are key ingredients in many high-tech products, many important for national defense. Imagine the consternation of Western officials when they woke up one morning in September 2010 to learn that China held a near-monopoly in the production […]

What Ever Happened to the Misery Index?

Remember the 1960s? The 1970s? Back then, inflation surged from one peak to another but failed to deliver the low unemployment rates promised by the Phillips curve. In fit of frustration, economist Arthur Okun invented what he called the misery index—the sum of the inflation and unemployment rates. As the following chart shows, those were […]

Japan’s Pivot to India

India’s newly elected prime minister, Narendra Modi, made his first geostrategic move in Asia’s complex new dynamics this week, and together with Prime Minister Abe, catapulted the Japan-India relationship into a “special strategic and global partnership.”  Two goals focused their attention: bolstering their national economies and contending with China’s growing influence. While their ambitions for their partnership may […]

1 2 3 73