Negative Rates Part 1: Beyond the Zero Bound

Negative Rates Part 1: Beyond the Zero Bound

  Interest in negative rates, at least as can be judged from hyper activity from commentators, has diminished. But a number of European central banks still have negative official rates. The European Central Bank (“ECB”) deposit rate is minus 0.30%. Switzerland’s policy rate is minus 0.75%. Sweden’s policy rate is minus 0.35%. The Bank of […]

The Vienna Deal: Only Temporary Relief in Oil Markets

The Vienna Deal: Only Temporary Relief in Oil Markets

photo: Global Panorama The Vienna agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers will extend oil cuts by nine months. After the deal, oil price plummeted by about 5 percent. Far more is needed to subdue new economic uncertainty and market volatility. Among the oil insiders, the decision to extend oil production cuts was seen as a […]

Capital Flows and Domestic Responses

Capital Flows and Domestic Responses

photo: Tax Credits The international impact of financial shocks became apparent during the global financial crisis. But how do financial flows affect economic conditions during non-crisis times? And are there ways to shelter the domestic economy from these flows? Some new evidence from the IMF seeks to answer these questions. IMF economists Bertrand Gruss, Malhar Nabar […]

NAFTA at the Crossroads

NAFTA at the Crossroads

The U.S. Senate voted to confirm Robert Lighthizer as United States Trade Representative last week, rounding out President Donald Trump’s cabinet and giving momentum to his trade agenda. At his swearing-in ceremony on May 15, Ambassador Lighthizer predicted that President Trump would permanently reverse “the dangerous trajectory of American trade,” and in turn make “U.S. […]

Will China Save the World?

Will China Save the World?

The Chinese leader Xi Jinping advocates globalization, which may increasingly aid the long-term development of the world economy. The US president Donald Trump does not serve globalization or even hinders the development of the world economy. Maybe some of his actions will revive the US economy in the short run, but they are harmful to […]

The Post-Referendum Turkish Economy: How to Write the New Chapter

The Post-Referendum Turkish Economy: How to Write the New Chapter

Turkey has left its constitutional referendum behind, along with the associated political uncertainties. In fact, not only the referendum but also certain earlier developments including the parliamentary elections in 2015 and the failed coup attempt in 2016 caused the country to deal with uncertainties for a considerable period of time. As a result, the governments […]

Crises and Coordination

Crises and Coordination

photo: Neil Cummings Policy coordination often receives the same type of response as St. Augustine gave chastity: “Lord, grant me chastity and continence, but not yet.” A new volume from the IMF, edited by Atish R. Ghosh and Mahvash S. Qureshi, includes the papers from a 2015 symposium devoted to this subject. Policymakers in an open economy who […]